Mesoscale Discussion 0720
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1054 PM CDT Sun May 24 2020

   Areas affected...West-central and Northern Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 221...

   Valid 250354Z - 250545Z

   CORRECTED - NO WATCH TO BE ISSUED

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 221
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A threat for large hail and wind damage will continue from
   west-central Kansas into northern Kansas over the next few hours.
   Additional weather watch issuance is not expected beyond the 05Z
   expiration but a local extension may still be necessary.

   DISCUSSION...The northern end of a large MCS is located along a warm
   front in western, central and northeastern Kansas. This convection
   is located on the northern edge of a pocket of moderate instability
   with MLCAPE estimated in the 2000 to 3000 J/kg range according to
   the RAP. Wind profiles have a substantial amount of directional
   shear near the warm front with east-northeast flow at the surface
   and south-southwest flow in the 3 to 6 km layer. This is resulting
   in about 35 kt of 0-6 km shear which should be supportive of
   isolated severe storms late this evening. The stronger multicells
   may produced isolated large hail. As line segments interact and cell
   mergers occur, wind damage will also be possible. The threat is
   expected to become more isolated with time. A local extension may be
   needed if the severe threat persists beyond the 05Z watch
   expiration, but a new watch is not anticipated.

   ..Broyles.. 05/25/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   38639572 38739706 38779825 38589890 38169938 37759978
               37710049 37940077 38700082 39609986 40029776 39949631
               39439554 38639572