Mesoscale Discussion 0726
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0309 PM CDT Mon May 25 2020

   Areas affected...Western Louisiana

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 252009Z - 252145Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...An isolated damaging wind threat will exist this afternoon
   and evening across western Louisiana.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered storms have developed along a confluence axis
   extending into western Louisiana. Storm coverage is expected to
   increase along this zone in the next 1 to 2 hours as the airmass is
   uncapped and MLCAPE is around 2000 J/kg. Effective shear around 20
   to 25 knots will lead to multicell clusters as the primary storm
   mode. Relatively weak flow below 3km per KPOE VWP will limit the
   overall severe weather threat, but the strong instability and moist
   column will support a threat for wet microbursts. Some evidence of
   this is present at 20Z from KPOE where several areas of 35 to 40
   knot velocities have been sampled below 2000 feet. The marginal
   nature of the threat will likely preclude the need for a watch
   across this region.

   ..Bentley/Hart.. 05/25/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...

   LAT...LON   31049200 30329255 30259293 30509326 31109353 32369405
               32959390 32869353 32569253 31489199 31049200