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| Mesoscale Discussion 741 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0741
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1234 PM CDT Wed May 27 2020
Areas affected...Southeast Florida
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 271734Z - 271900Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...An isolated damaging wind gust or two is possible this
afternoon in southeast Florida
DISCUSSION...Numerous storms have developed across the Florida
Peninsula early this afternoon in a warm and very moist environment
with temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s and dewpoints in the
mid 70s. This has yielded MLCAPE of 2000 to 2500 J/kg across the
region. The 12Z MFL sounding showed modest mid-level lapse rates
around 7 C/km which is likely supporting the strong updraft growth
across the region. The AMX and MLB VWP both show increasing flow
around 700 mb to around 25 to 30 knots. This may support some
multicell organization capable of isolated damaging wind gusts.
..Bentley/Hart.. 05/27/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...
LAT...LON 25478017 25378051 25858101 26978152 28288146 28508090
28448044 27948024 26907994 26118004 25478017
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