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Mesoscale Discussion 741
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0741
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1234 PM CDT Wed May 27 2020

   Areas affected...Southeast Florida

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 271734Z - 271900Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...An isolated damaging wind gust or two is possible this
   afternoon in southeast Florida

   DISCUSSION...Numerous storms have developed across the Florida
   Peninsula early this afternoon in a warm and very moist environment
   with temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s and dewpoints in the
   mid 70s. This has yielded MLCAPE of 2000 to 2500 J/kg across the
   region. The 12Z MFL sounding showed modest mid-level lapse rates
   around 7 C/km which is likely supporting the strong updraft growth
   across the region. The AMX and MLB VWP both show increasing flow
   around 700 mb to around 25 to 30 knots. This may support some
   multicell organization capable of isolated damaging wind gusts.

   ..Bentley/Hart.. 05/27/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

   LAT...LON   25478017 25378051 25858101 26978152 28288146 28508090
               28448044 27948024 26907994 26118004 25478017 

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