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Mesoscale Discussion 0764
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0708 PM CDT Fri May 29 2020
Areas affected...eastern Wyoming...western Nebraska...far northeast
Colorado
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 300008Z - 300145Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated marginally severe hail and wind are possible
across portions of eastern Wyoming into western Nebraska and far
northeast Colorado this evening.
DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms are developing this evening across the
central High Plains along the northeastern periphery of an upper
high over the Four Corners. Weak upslope flow and daytime heating
have helped initiate storms within an environment characterized by
modest instability (500 J/kg of MLCAPE) and shear (30-40 knots bulk
shear). High-based, splitting storms are likely given the relatively
straight hodographs and dry low-levels. Marginally severe hail is
possible along with damaging wind gusts. These storms are likely to
diminish shortly after sunset, and a watch issuance is unlikely
given the isolated, marginal nature of the storms.
..Nauslar/Dial.. 05/30/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...BOU...CYS...RIW...
LAT...LON 42290258 41530249 40700268 40490340 40670418 41380487
42670596 43580610 43880575 43880511 43660439 43250361
42610274 42290258
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