Mesoscale Discussion 0808
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0332 AM CDT Thu Jun 04 2020

   Areas affected...Portions of southeastern KS and west-central into
   southwestern MO

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 248...

   Valid 040832Z - 041000Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 248
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Strong to locally severe winds may continue with a line of
   storms moving southward early this morning.

   DISCUSSION...Outflow from a back-building cluster of storms over
   central MO has merged with the southward-moving line over
   west-central MO and southeastern KS, where the strongest
   reflectivity and velocity signatures are currently noted. Occasional
   strong to severe wind gusts producing isolated damage have been
   observed with this convection over the past couple of hours across
   the Kansas City metro area. The greatest near-term threat for
   damaging winds appears to be over far southeastern KS and
   southwestern MO, where a relatively unstable airmass still resides
   (MLCAPE 1000-2000 J/kg). Recent radar trends indicate that a
   supercell embedded within the line over Bates County MO has recently
   strengthened. Isolated large hail may occur if this supercell can
   persist. Some potential for a brief/isolated tornado may also exist
   along the leading edge of the line in southwestern MO, where around
   100-150 m2/s2 of 0-1 km SRH is present per latest mesoanalysis and
   VWP estimates from KSGF.

   ..Gleason.. 06/04/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

   LAT...LON   38199590 38179503 38479420 38779364 38049308 37189310
               37099490 37469591 38199590