Mesoscale Discussion 0818
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0242 PM CDT Thu Jun 04 2020

   Areas affected...Far Southeast MO...Southern IL...Southwest
   IN...Western KY

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 041942Z - 042145Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind gusts possible over the next
   several hours.

   DISCUSSION...Well-defined mesoscale convective vortex is easily
   discernible from regional radar imagery over far southeast MO
   (approximately 10 miles southwest of CGI). Cloudiness across the
   area downstream of this MCV has been slower to destabilize than
   areas farther east, but temperatures are now in the low 80s and
   mesoanalysis suggests little to no MLCIN remains. Some minimal
   enhancement of the low-level flow is possible east of this vortex,
   but vertical shear is generally is expected to be modest. This
   should lead to a predominately disorganized multicellular mode.
   Widespread thunderstorm coverage is anticipated and a few isolated
   storms could briefly reach severe strength, particularly if updrafts
   are augmented by cell interactions/mergers.

   ..Mosier/Grams.. 06/04/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...

   LAT...LON   37078976 38388864 39048767 39118631 38198567 37028719
               36618907 37078976