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Mesoscale Discussion 0820
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0341 PM CDT Thu Jun 04 2020
Areas affected...Northern/Central VA...Western/Central
MD...Central/Eastern PA...Eastern WV Panhandle
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 250...
Valid 042041Z - 042215Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 250
continues.
SUMMARY...Threat for hail and damaging wind gusts will persist for
the next few hours.
DISCUSSION...Predominantly cellular storms have develop across
central PA, with numerous storm splits observed. Straight hodograph
depicted by recent KPBZ VAD data suggests an environment favorable
for splitting cells, which matches the observations well. While many
of the cells are shallow and disorganized, cells in Juniata/Perry,
Dauphin, and Franklin counties appear to be supercellular and moving
to the right of the mean wind. Threat for hail and damaging wind
gusts will continue from central PA into eastern PA over the next
few hours.
Farther south along the higher terrain of western MD and eastern VA,
a more outflow-dominant storm mode has been noted thus far. Updrafts
have struggled to maintain intensity as they develop along these
outflow. Slightly better updraft organization and longer maintenance
has begun over, and in the vicinity of, the eastern WV Panhandle
where better vertical shear exists. Threat for hail and damaging
wind gusts will also persist over this area for the next few hours.
..Mosier.. 06/04/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...
LAT...LON 40347910 41447793 41197617 38817674 37657907 38557970
40347910
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