Mesoscale Discussion 0822
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0523 PM CDT Thu Jun 04 2020

   Areas affected...Central High Plains

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 042223Z - 050030Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Gusty winds will likely accompany convection across the
   central High Plains this evening. Scattered nature suggests a watch
   may not be required.

   DISCUSSION...Strong boundary-layer heating across the central High
   Plains has contributed to negligible inhibition from western KS into
   western NE. As a result, scattered high-based convection has evolved
   along this corridor within mid-level northwesterly flow. Adequate
   high-level flow appears supportive of maintaining these updrafts and
   PW values are sufficient for enhancing downdrafts. However, much of
   this activity should remain scattered and it's not clear how
   organized thunderstorms will be. The most likely region for
   organized convection will be near the NE/SD border and this region
   may ultimately need to be in a watch later this evening.

   ..Darrow/Goss.. 06/04/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...

   LAT...LON   39100157 40890155 42800155 42600000 40669982 39320028
               39100157