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Mesoscale Discussion 830
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0830
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0934 PM CDT Thu Jun 04 2020

   Areas affected...Lubbock...TX and vicinity

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 251...

   Valid 050234Z - 050330Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 251
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A cluster of storms may persist for the next hour or two
   near Lubbock, TX with large hail and damaging winds possible. A
   local watch extension may be necessary.

   DISCUSSION...Storms have continued to form off the western edge of
   an outflow boundary from convection that pushed south-southeast
   across the Texas South Plains this evening. As the dryline has
   slowly started to retreat, the area for potential severe storms has
   expanded westward, which has allowed these storms to develop and
   intensify. The transition from transient supercellular convection to
   multicellular, more outflow dominant convection has occurred over
   the last hour as daytime heating waned. This trend is likely to
   continue, but severe winds/hail are still possible over the next
   hour and possibly slightly longer. The low level jet is forecast to
   strengthen later tonight, but these storms may not last long enough
   to be influenced. A local watch extension (in time) may be necessary
   past 03z, but a new watch is unlikely.

   ..Nauslar/Goss.. 06/05/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LUB...

   LAT...LON   33860205 34040171 34040132 33690098 33220082 33170108
               33090127 33180175 33500205 33860205 

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