Mesoscale Discussion 0834
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1131 PM CDT Thu Jun 04 2020

   Areas affected...Texas South Plains

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 050431Z - 050630Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Locally severe wind gusts, with some threat for isolated
   hail, will be noted for the next few hours across the TX South
   Plains.

   DISCUSSION...Deep convection that developed along the dry line over
   the TX/OK Panhandle region has evolved into a larger complex of
   storms over the TX South Plains. This activity has persisted longer
   than earlier anticipated and recent CAMs suggest. However, given the
   cold pool that has formed it appears the MCS may actually propagate
   another 50-100mi or so before gradually weakening, especially given
   the LLJ that is observed across the southern High Plains. Damaging
   winds have been noted with this convection but the questionable
   duration may not warrant a new watch.

   ..Darrow/Goss.. 06/05/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...MAF...

   LAT...LON   33080156 32130187 31540077 32350009 33080156