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Mesoscale Discussion 0848
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0801 PM CDT Fri Jun 05 2020
Areas affected...eastern Wyoming...southwest South
Dakota...northwest Nebraska
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 060101Z - 060300Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A few storms are developing across the High Plains
including a supercell in far east-central Wyoming. Large hail and
damaging winds are the main severe threats with these discrete
storms.
DISCUSSION...Isolated storms have developed across the High Plains
as upslope flow and daytime heating have helped initiate convection.
One supercell has been cycling across eastern Wyoming over the last
1+ hour. It has recently intensified and started to move
southeastward. Weaker storms have developed across northeast Wyoming
and far southeast Wyoming/southwest Nebraska. If these storms can
persist past sunset, the low-level jet is forecast to strengthen out
of the southeast and may sustain storms longer into the evening.
Large hail and damaging winds remain possible with the wind threat
likely lasting longer. A watch issuance is unlikely given the
relative isolated nature of the severe threat.
..Nauslar/Goss.. 06/06/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...CYS...BYZ...
LAT...LON 43720516 44640587 45100600 45170505 44130350 43440266
42720221 42000229 41230280 41140343 41300410 42030445
43070472 43720516
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