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Mesoscale Discussion 852
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0852
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1229 PM CDT Sat Jun 06 2020

   Areas affected...central and eastern Colorado

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch needed soon 

   Valid 061729Z - 061900Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are beginning to develop across the central
   Rockies late this morning. Strong wind gusts are likely with storms
   through this afternoon. A watch is likely needed by 19z.

   DISCUSSION...A negatively tilted shortwave trough and 75 kt 500 mb
   jet near the Four Corners is beginning overspreading the eastern
   portions of the central Rocky Mountains and Colorado High Plains.
   Despite ongoing cloud cover, strong dynamic lift and gradual warming
   of the boundary layer will result in weak destabilization with
   MLCAPE of 250-500 J/kg. Bands of convection emanating from the
   mountains will pose a risk for strong wind gusts given the very
   strong flow aloft. A severe thunderstorm watch will likely be need
   by 19z.

   ..Lyons/Thompson.. 06/06/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...

   LAT...LON   40920572 40690588 37460580 37150555 37140333 37440313
               40670315 40930359 40910397 40920572 

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