Mesoscale Discussion 0858
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0549 PM CDT Sat Jun 06 2020

   Areas affected...Florida Peninsula

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 062249Z - 070115Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Transient rotating storms remain possible across the
   Florida Peninsula through this evening. Isolated damaging wind gusts
   and a brief tornado or two are possible with these storms.

   DISCUSSION...Tropical Storm Cristobal continues to slowly moving
   northward in the Gulf of Mexico with its outer bands beginning to
   reach portions of the Florida Gulf Coast. Multiple rotating storms
   have been observed across the central Florida Peninsula, however,
   most of storms have had rotation intensify and dissipate relatively
   quickly. Storm relative helicity 0-1 km of 75-200 m2/s2 per
   mesoanalysis and KTBW and KMLB VADs indicate the potential remains
   for rotating storms, especially near any enhanced surface
   convergence and easterly flow on the peninsula. The tornado threat
   will keep shifting northward with time this evening, although, there
   is potential for rotating storms to develop across south/central
   Florida later tonight. Given the relatively isolated, marginal
   threat, a watch issuance is not anticipated at this time.

   ..Nauslar/Goss.. 06/06/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   28468100 27488121 27058157 26918195 26898246 26888260
               27828293 29398311 29598263 29638190 29428137 28798102
               28468100