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Mesoscale Discussion 865
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0865
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0218 AM CDT Sun Jun 07 2020

   Areas affected...far northeast ND into northern and east-central MN

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 070718Z - 070915Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue developing northeast
   overnight. Some locally gusty winds or hail could briefly occur, but
   overall threat is expected to remain low.

   DISCUSSION...Areas of convection continue to lift northeast tonight,
   with several bands extending from northeast ND into northwest and
   east-central MN. This convection is elevated and will continue to
   move away from area of greater instability. Storms will also
   continue to spread northeast away from strong effective shear.
   Nevertheless, some elevated instability will remain across the
   region with modest shear profiles supporting some loosely-organized
   line segments. While severe potential will remain low given the
   modest environment and strong boundary layer inhibition, some gusty
   winds or hail could briefly accompany the strongest cells overnight.

   ..Leitman/Guyer.. 06/07/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...

   LAT...LON   48879324 49369454 49439509 49409711 49189812 48799809
               47969764 47739723 46409520 45309368 45199333 45249315
               45869290 47229243 47739233 48229230 48409236 48879324 

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