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Mesoscale Discussion 0876
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0752 PM CDT Sun Jun 07 2020
Areas affected...central Gulf Coast
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 080052Z - 080245Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A few storms have exhibited transient rotation as Tropical
Storm Cristobal has made landfall. A brief, weak tornado cannot be
ruled out and strong wind gusts are also possible. A watch issuance
is not expected at this time.
DISCUSSION...Tropical Storm Cristobal made landfall over an hour ago
and a few showers have exhibited some weak rotation. Storms are
moving to west-northwest as rain bands move northward. Recently a
couple of showers exhibited weak rotation in/around Mobile Bay, but
quickly weakened when they moved onshore. A brief, weak tornado
remains possible to the north/east of the tropical storm center
where low level shear/helicity remains maximized. However, the
tornado threat should be isolated. Localized convectively enhanced
wind gusts are also possible within these rain bands. Given the
marginal and isolated severe threat, a watch issuance is unlikely,
but the situation will continued to be monitored.
..Nauslar/Hart.. 06/08/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 30058898 30068977 30199022 30609034 30969018 31148974
31228890 31178815 31078751 30788714 30408696 30208741
30148764 30058898
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