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Mesoscale Discussion 0878
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0918 PM CDT Sun Jun 07 2020
Areas affected...South Dakota...Northern Nebraska
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 268...
Valid 080218Z - 080315Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 268
continues.
SUMMARY...Severe threat will continue beyond 03z across much of
ww268. Watch extension, or new watch, may be warranted.
DISCUSSION...Surface boundary has moved little over the last few
hours despite considerable amount of convection along the frontal
corridor. Robust updrafts, with hail cores, remain embedded along an
axis from Cherry County NE to Brown County SD in the northern
portion of the watch. There is increasing concern that this activity
will not weaken appreciably before 03z as primary mid-level vort is
currently lifting north-northeast across southern MT, just north of
SHR, and negligible height changes are forecast across the
northern/central Plains tonight. With LLJ expected to increase
across eastern SD over the next few hours it appears this corridor
of convection will persist for several more hours. Watch extension,
or new watch may be warranted.
..Darrow.. 06/08/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...LBF...UNR...CYS...
LAT...LON 42070274 45929994 45909744 42070041 42070274
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