Mesoscale Discussion 0883
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0528 PM CDT Mon Jun 08 2020

   Areas affected...northern Mississippi...northern Alabama...southwest
   Tennessee

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 082228Z - 090030Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A recent uptick in convective intensity has been noted by
   increased lightning and transient rotation within rain bands over
   northern Mississippi/Alabama. A brief, weak tornado and strong winds
   gusts are possible with these storms, but given the isolated severe
   risk, a watch issuance is not anticipated at this time.

   DISCUSSION...Convective cells generally moving northward within rain
   bands of Tropical Storm Cristobal have exhibited transient rotation
   per KGWX/KNQA/KBMX. Additionally, an increase in lightning has been
   noted as breaks in cloud cover have helped destabilize and increase
   updraft intensity with cooler cloud tops noted. Low-level shear and
   observed VROT signatures of 10-20 knots indicate a brief, weak
   tornado is possible with these storms. Strong wind gusts are also
   possible. The threat will likely remain into the evening, although
   it may begin to diminish once daytime heating wanes thus limiting
   destabilization.

   ..Nauslar/Hart.. 06/08/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

   LAT...LON   33588725 34048787 33938855 33608875 33178891 32958944
               33398957 34588985 34949033 35309015 35418972 35238920
               35128889 34978803 34798729 34458695 33938676 33408669
               33178685 33588725