Mesoscale Discussion 0884
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0650 PM CDT Mon Jun 08 2020

   Areas affected...eastern north Dakota through northwest Minnesota

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 270...271...

   Valid 082350Z - 090145Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 270, 271
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Potential will exist for widely scattered thunderstorms to
   continue developing into mid evening mainly from northeastern North
   Dakota to northwest Minnesota. Isolated large hail and damaging wind
   are the main threats.

   DISCUSSION...Early this evening a cold front extends from extreme
   northwest MN through eastern ND. RAP analysis shows a weak impulse
   exiting ND and moving northeastward into southern Manitoba. Despite
   presence of moderate to strong instability with up to 2500 J/kg
   MLCAPE, there has been a tendency for storms to struggle to maintain
   intensity during the past couple hours, possibly due to limited deep
   forcing in presence of a mid-level capping inversion. An increase in
   frontogenetic forcing is expected toward mid evening as the
   low-level jet strengthens. However, a temporary lull in more robust
   thunderstorm development may persist next couple hours, especially
   in ww 271 in wake of lead impulse and as the surface layer
   stabilizes.

   ..Dial.. 06/08/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...BIS...

   LAT...LON   48689465 47119561 46019634 46349810 47969792 48919725
               48689465