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Mesoscale Discussion 0887
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0913 PM CDT Mon Jun 08 2020
Areas affected...central Nebraska through eastern South Dakota
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 272...
Valid 090213Z - 090415Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 272
continues.
SUMMARY...The threat for large hail, damaging wind and a tornado or
two will persist this evening across central Nebraska with
additional development expected through eastern South Dakota.
DISCUSSION...Several severe storms persist from central through
north central NE along and north of a stalled front. The southerly
low-level jet has increased to 40+ kt based on latest VWP, and this
feature is augmenting isentropic ascent and frontogenetic forcing
from NE through eastern SD. Vertical wind profiles with 45-50 kt
effective bulk shear within a moderately unstable environment will
continue to support some supercell structures, but there will also
be a tendency for some storms to evolve into clusters as they spread
northward. Primary threats remain large hail and damaging wind. The
window of opportunity for an isolated tornado or two should
gradually decrease, given storms are developing in post frontal
regime where the near-surface layer is stabilizing.
..Dial.. 06/09/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...ABR...LBF...UNR...
LAT...LON 45589616 43589793 41989923 41210006 40780063 41430119
42810035 44479879 45739751 45589616
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