Mesoscale Discussion 0942
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0906 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2020

   Areas affected...Parts of North Texas...the Big Country...and Concho
   Valley

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 285...

   Valid 200206Z - 200400Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 285
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A band of strong/severe storms continues moving
   east-southeastward across portions of northern and into central
   Texas.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a disorganized/arcing band of
   storms -- north of a surging west-to-east outflow boundary -- draped
   across North Texas at this time, while a stronger north-south band
   of storms moves eastward out of the South Plains/Panhandle.  This
   eastward-moving band of storms has evolved largely as anticipated,
   though fast southward surging of the outflow to the east has
   occurred.  The result is that storms crossing western North Texas
   will remain slightly elevated -- though locally damaging winds and
   marginal hail remain possible with the more robust updrafts. 
   Farther south along the convective band, near the intersection of
   the band with the southward-moving outflow, greater risk for locally
   damaging winds would appear to exist.  

   With a broad area of amply unstable air south and east of ongoing
   storms, it is likely that the convection will continue spreading
   southeastward across central Texas.  However, weak mid-level flow
   should tend to limit overall severe risk, such that any downstream
   WW remains questionable.  We will continue to monitor convective
   evolution as it pertains to any potential for additional WW
   issuance.

   ..Goss.. 06/20/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

   LAT...LON   35160024 35029958 33909809 32119930 32000114 33980020
               35160024