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Mesoscale Discussion 0964
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2020
Areas affected...South-central OK into north TX
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 293...
Valid 220542Z - 220615Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 293
continues.
SUMMARY...50-60 mph gusts should persist for another hour or two
with a gradually decaying QLCS in south-central OK that should
spread into a part of north TX. WW 293 was scheduled to expire at
06Z and will be locally extended in time until 08Z with a
replacement WW unlikely.
DISCUSSION...Leading edge of a long-lived QLCS is approaching the
Red River in south-central OK. While the overall radar reflectivity
and velocity have trended down, strong to locally severe gusts
persist along the apex of the line with a 52 kt gust measured at
KLAW at 0511Z, as well as 58-60 mph gusts recently measured at the
Walters and Washington mesonet sites. Substantial MLCIN sampled in
00Z FWD suggest that significant reintensification of the QLCS is
unlikely, especially given how far south the leading outflow has
outpaced the reflectivity cores in western north TX. Still, with
robust pressure rises within the cold pool, a localized severe risk
will probably persist for another hour or two in far south-central
OK and perhaps into part of north TX.
..Grams.. 06/22/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 34639865 34649796 35099719 35319675 34879628 34499614
34009635 33669666 33449713 33379767 33429817 33649875
34069892 34479890 34639865
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