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| Mesoscale Discussion 969 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0969
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0114 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2020
Areas affected...parts of central and southern Florida
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 221814Z - 222045Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Storms are expected to quickly develop this afternoon over
much of interior central and southern Florida. Locally damaging
downbursts are expected, along with isolated large hail.
DISCUSSION...Satellite shows towering CU developing over the state
with the more robust towers along the sea breeze fronts. MLCAPE will
continue to increase to over 3000 J/kg with tall, moist CAPE
profiles and good lapse rates supporting rapid storm initiation
after 19-20Z.
Weak westerlies aloft combined with easterly surface winds near the
east coast sea breeze may support a southward moving severe cell or
two, with localized damaging wind or hail threat. Otherwise,
increasing storms are likely to produce outflow across a good
portion of the state, with a general westward propagation and
localized damaging gusts.
..Jewell/Guyer.. 06/22/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...
LAT...LON 26918031 26458046 25908059 25518062 25378087 25498105
25978132 26868202 27538246 28068249 28518208 28738165
28798106 28708085 28488076 27908064 27328043 27118035
26918031
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