Mesoscale Discussion 0971
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0313 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2020

   Areas affected...northeast New Mexico and southeast Colorado into
   the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 222013Z - 222215Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...Storms will likely form over northeast New Mexico and
   southeast Colorado by 21Z, with damaging wind and hail threat
   spreading southeast across the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles through
   evening.

   DISCUSSION...Beneath modest northwest flow aloft, storms are likely
   to initiate over the higher terrain of northeast NM and southeast CO
   by 21Z, traveling southeast into a more unstable air mass.
   Straight-line hodographs and steep lapse rates aloft will favor
   splitting cells and hail, but increasing outflow over time may
   result in clustering or an MCS with damaging winds. Surface winds
   will veer to easterly through evening in response to the lee trough,
   and this will marginally increase storm relative inflow and help to
   counteract the negative impact of increasing convective inhibition
   tonight.

   ..Jewell/Guyer.. 06/22/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   37890373 37490273 36970123 36630030 36109974 35479968
               34629991 34140025 33990137 34200245 34960390 35340446
               35880446 36530435 37070432 37540434 37800417 37890373