Mesoscale Discussion 0979
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1201 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2020

   Areas affected...central Arkansas into northern Mississippi and
   southwest Tennessee

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 231701Z - 231930Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Scattered strong storms are likely to persist this
   afternoon as they travel east/southeast, with marginal wind and hail
   threat.

   DISCUSSION...Moderate instability has developed from AR into MS
   where areas of heating persist. Isolated cells are rapidly
   developing near the weak surface trough, which is also just ahead of
   a small MCS emanating northeastward from the earlier TX system. 

   Storm coverage is likely to increase today, spreading east out of AR
   into MS and possibly southwest TN. Locally damaging wind gusts
   appear to be the main threat, with isolated marginal hail possible.
   Shear will remain weak, but 20+ kt westerlies aloft will help to get
   storms moving east/southeast.

   ..Jewell/Dial.. 06/23/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK...

   LAT...LON   34019200 34499308 34899318 35399291 35589230 35489112
               35178942 34988842 34558820 34108805 33418825 33278893
               33448991 33729117 34019200