Mesoscale Discussion 0984
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0608 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2020

   Areas affected...Southeastern Louisiana into southern Mississippi

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 241108Z - 241315Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...While ongoing storms may pose some risk for an isolated
   tornado or two early this morning, this risk, in general, appears
   relatively low.  While a severe weather watch is not currently
   anticipated, trends will be monitored.

   DISCUSSION...A small cluster of vigorous thunderstorm development
   has accompanied a mesoscale convective vortex migrating
   northeastward, inland of the central Louisiana coast overnight. 
   Embedded stronger discrete structures have exhibited at least modest
   low-level rotation.  This has been supported by updrafts driven by
   moderately large CAPE, in the presence of low-level hodographs
   featuring clockwise curvature.  There may be a localized speed
   maximum around the 850 mb level on the order of 30 kts or so, but
   low-level wind fields are otherwise generally modest to weak, and
   latest Rapid Refresh suggests further weakening after daybreak. 
   Given boundary layer dew points increasing into the lower/mid 70s
   near the stronger storms, a relatively short-lived tornado or two
   might not be out of the question for another hour or two.

   ..Kerr/Grams.. 06/24/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

   LAT...LON   30739131 31699080 32218886 31368825 29368968 29379131
               30179122 30739131