Mesoscale Discussion 0990
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0356 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2020

   Areas affected...portions of New Mexico

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 242056Z - 242300Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Storms are developing over the higher terrain across much
   of New Mexico this afternoon. Marginally severe hail/wind are
   possible with these storms and some south-southeast movement off the
   higher terrain this afternoon/evening is expected.

   DISCUSSION...An upper-level ridge over the Desert Southwest has
   resulted in north-northwest flow over much of New Mexico. Low-level
   moisture has pushed westward with surface dewpoints of in the 40s to
   low 50s F across much of New Mexico east of the Continental Divide.
   Currently storms are staying mostly tied to the terrain, but as
   destabilization continues across adjacent plains/valleys, storms are
   likely to move south-southeast later this afternoon and into the
   evening. Steep lapse rates exist through the mid-levels across the
   region with marginally severe hail/wind possible with these storms.
   With relatively weak flow through the column, outflow dominant
   storms are likely. Given the marginal and isolated severe risk, a
   watch issuance is unlikely.

   ..Nauslar/Dial.. 06/24/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AMA...MAF...PUB...ABQ...EPZ...

   LAT...LON   31650690 32780779 33770780 34310739 34540654 35690548
               36630525 37100486 37240430 37290368 36950298 36480318
               35480407 34360490 33290485 32320476 31650544 31650690