Mesoscale Discussion 0991
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0527 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2020
Areas affected...Portions of eastern Alabama into central and
southern Georgia...southern South Carolina...far northern Florida
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 300...
Valid 242227Z - 250000Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 300
continues.
SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across parts of Severe
Thunderstorm Watch 300. Damaging wind gusts appear to be the primary
threat through the remainder of the afternoon. Some severe threat
may expand east of WW 300, with convective trends being closely
monitored.
DISCUSSION...Relatively vigorous convection has become widespread
over the past few hours, both in the immediate vicinity of an MCV,
currently located across southwest AL, and with convective clusters
in both central/southern GA and central SC. A couple of damaging
wind gusts have been observed over the past few hours with
convection across GA. In addition, areas east of Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 300 across east-central GA into western SC continue to receive
insolation, with sfc-3km lapse rates exceeding 8 C/km and MLCAPE
around 1500 J/kg. With observations showing temperatures in the 90s
and temperature/dewpoint spreads exceeding 20F, efficient
evaporative cooling with the stronger storms may encourage
additional damaging gusts, until the airmass across this vicinity is
convectively overturned.
In addition, convective outflow slowly sagging southward across SC
may provide localized lift for a very brief uptick in convective
activity. A damaging gust or perhaps a brief tornado cannot be
completely ruled out if a longer lasting updraft happens to traverse
this boundary. Nonetheless, the severe threat is expected to be
brief given onset of nocturnal cooling within the next couple of
hours, and this is reflected in the latest model guidance.
..Squitieri/Edwards.. 06/24/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...
MOB...
LAT...LON 30858679 32148704 32868659 33198417 33978275 33527992
33077953 32158029 31318123 30608304 30858679
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