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Mesoscale Discussion 997
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0997
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0211 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2020

   Areas affected...Central and eastern Wyoming

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 251911Z - 252115Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A few damaging wind gusts and marginally severe hail will
   be possible with scattered thunderstorms this afternoon. Given
   limited convective organization, no WW is anticipated.

   DISCUSSION...Ascent from an approaching weak mid-level shortwave has
   promoted thunderstorm development along the higher terrain in
   central/eastern WY. With only 30-40 kts of mid-level flow being
   sampled by regional VADs, effective shear of around 30-40 kts will
   support marginally organized convection this afternoon. The main
   limiting factor will be weak buoyancy given generally upper 40s F
   dewpoints. A few storms may produce damaging wind gusts as well as
   marginally severe hail. A WW is not anticipated.

   ..Wendt/Thompson.. 06/25/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...UNR...CYS...RIW...

   LAT...LON   44170805 44430702 44470569 43730495 42070475 41250519
               41120607 41290733 41530777 41890860 43340859 44170805 

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