Mesoscale Discussion 0998
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0213 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2020

   Areas affected...central Florida

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 251913Z - 252115Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Storms will be capable of producing isolated downburst
   winds across central Florida this afternoon. Severe threat is not
   expected to become sufficient for a WW.

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms are in the process of developing along a
   weak east-west oriented boundary across central FL as well as in
   association with sea-breeze circulations. Dewpoints in the mid 70s F
   and strong diabatic heating have promoted strong instability with
   2500-3000 J/kg MLCAPE despite weak to modest mid-level lapse rates.
   Vertical wind profiles exhibit weak shear and are supportive of
   pulse/multicell storms. Isolated wet downburst will be the primary
   severe threat as storms continue developing this afternoon before
   weakening during the early evening.

   ..Dial/Thompson.. 06/25/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

   LAT...LON   27548257 28028243 28318153 28668082 28048057 27558037
               27158072 26978131 26888182 27148230 27548257