Mesoscale Discussion 1001
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0448 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2020

   Areas affected...Northern South Carolina...west-central North
   Carolina...and southern Virginia

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 252148Z - 252315Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms are expected into the evening.
   Isolated large hail and damaging winds will be the primary threat.

   DISCUSSION...A few isolated storms have developed this evening along
   a diffuse surface trough which recently crossed the Appalachians.
   Additional storm coverage will likely be limited as the region
   begins to cool this evening. MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg and effective
   shear around 45 knots has supported rotating updrafts with any
   storms which have developed. These storms, and any additional storms
   which may develop within the hour, may be capable of large hail and
   damaging winds for a few hours. However, intensity will likely
   remain marginally severe due to limited instability and weak lapse
   rates (~6 C/km per 12Z regional RAOBs and SPC Mesoanalysis).

   ..Bentley.. 06/25/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...

   LAT...LON   34788240 35578147 36648020 37157946 37237794 35817845
               34837939 34118052 34318182 34788240