Mesoscale Discussion 1002
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0509 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2020

   Areas affected...Eastern Virginia and eastern Maryland

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 252209Z - 252345Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Scattered severe storms are expected to continue through
   the evening.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered storms have developed in eastern Virginia and
   eastern Maryland. The two primary clusters are near Richmond and DC
   as of 6 PM EDT. Instability remains somewhat limited across the
   region with MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg per SPC mesoanalysis, but
   effective shear near 50 knots has helped support storm organization.
   Marginal mid-level lapse rates and weak flow in the lowest 3 km will
   be the primary limiting factors to a more widespread severe weather
   event, but isolated large hail and damaging winds will be possible
   with storms as they continue into the evening. The upper-level
   support should allow strong storms to persist for at least a few
   more hours despite a cooling boundary layer.

   ..Bentley.. 06/25/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...

   LAT...LON   36897740 37347814 38117842 38977857 39767709 39687578
               38157529 37057584 36897740