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Mesoscale Discussion 1003
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1003
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0622 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2020

   Areas affected...Eastern Alabama and southern Georgia

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 252322Z - 260045Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to continue
   for a few more hours. Large hail and damaging winds will be the
   primary threats.

   DISCUSSION...Storms have recently developed in eastern Alabama and
   southern Georgia where the airmass has not undergone much convective
   overturning yet today. Effective shear is weak (~20-25 kts per
   VAX/EOX VWP) with MLCAPE around 1500 to 2000 J/kg per SPC
   mesoanalysis. This environment will continue to support multicell
   clusters for the next few hours. Isolated damaging winds are
   possible where strong, water-loaded downdrafts reach the surface,
   but the threat for more widespread damaging winds should be limited
   due to the weak lower tropospheric flow.

   ..Bentley.. 06/25/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...

   LAT...LON   31578519 31908574 32118599 32678569 32828464 32558323
               32458227 32028151 31478175 31368303 31578519 

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