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Mesoscale Discussion 1004
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1004
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0645 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2020

   Areas affected...East-central Mississippi and west-central Alabama

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 252345Z - 260115Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A line of storms capable of isolated damaging winds is
   expected to continue for a few more hours.

   DISCUSSION...An arcing line of storms continues across east-central
   Mississippi with mostly ~50 mph winds and occasional wind damage.
   This MCS now has a well-developed cold pool. This will aid in MCS
   maintenance as it continues to move eastward toward a strongly
   unstable (2500 J/kg) MLCAPE) airmass. Additionally, a strengthening
   southwesterly low-level jet (40+ kts on LIX/LCH/JAN VWP) has also
   assisted cold-pool balance. This low-level jet will likely provide
   enough support to keep this line of storms going after dark, but
   eventually, the cooling boundary layer is expected to stabilize
   conditions ahead of these storms and lead to their demise.

   ..Bentley/Edwards.. 06/25/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...

   LAT...LON   31918916 32458942 32868905 33268816 33498725 33418673
               32998647 32368709 31828783 31438842 31388876 31468906
               31918916 

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