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Mesoscale Discussion 1004
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0645 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2020
Areas affected...East-central Mississippi and west-central Alabama
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 252345Z - 260115Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A line of storms capable of isolated damaging winds is
expected to continue for a few more hours.
DISCUSSION...An arcing line of storms continues across east-central
Mississippi with mostly ~50 mph winds and occasional wind damage.
This MCS now has a well-developed cold pool. This will aid in MCS
maintenance as it continues to move eastward toward a strongly
unstable (2500 J/kg) MLCAPE) airmass. Additionally, a strengthening
southwesterly low-level jet (40+ kts on LIX/LCH/JAN VWP) has also
assisted cold-pool balance. This low-level jet will likely provide
enough support to keep this line of storms going after dark, but
eventually, the cooling boundary layer is expected to stabilize
conditions ahead of these storms and lead to their demise.
..Bentley/Edwards.. 06/25/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...
LAT...LON 31918916 32458942 32868905 33268816 33498725 33418673
32998647 32368709 31828783 31438842 31388876 31468906
31918916
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