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Mesoscale Discussion 1007
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1007
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0107 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2020

   Areas affected...much of eastern Colorado...southeast
   Wyoming...southwest Nebraska...far western Kansas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 261807Z - 262000Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...Storms are expected to initiate along the Front Range
   between 19 and 20Z, with primarily a damaging wind and hail threat
   spreading east through evening.

   DISCUSSION...Easterly surface winds behind the NE/KS boundary have
   maintained 50s F dewpoints along and east of the Front Range, with
   strong heating resulting in 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE. Light but deep
   easterly low-level winds should prove favorable for
   forward-propagating storm clusters producing damaging wind gusts
   after about 20Z over much of eastern CO. Modest westerlies aloft
   atop the surface easterlies will also elongate hodographs enough to
   support a few long-lived cores producing large hail. A brief
   supercell/weak tornado cannot be ruled out early in the event, prior
   to large-scale outflow production.

   ..Jewell/Thompson.. 06/26/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...

   LAT...LON   38870518 39580553 40140569 40510582 40570589 41370576
               41580544 41570458 41350299 41150256 40740218 40260205
               39720206 38290196 37580198 37240213 37050248 37090268
               37500441 37870485 38870518 

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