Mesoscale Discussion 1022
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0748 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2020

   Areas affected...Portions of central IN into far western OH

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 271248Z - 271415Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...An isolated damaging wind threat may spread into the
   Indianapolis metro over the next hour or two. Watch issuance appears
   unlikely at this time.

   DISCUSSION...A small cluster of storms is ongoing this morning
   across parts of central IN, and is possibly being aided by a
   convectively enhanced mid-level vorticity maximum from earlier
   storms. Although the airmass downstream of this activity is only
   weakly unstable (MLCAPE 500-1000 J/kg), there is modestly
   strengthening flow through mid levels per recent VWPs from KIND.
   This may be enough to support continued storm organization, with a
   linear mode likely to persist. Recent radar data from KIND shows a
   small portion of this cluster with enhanced low-level velocities
   approaching the Indianapolis metro. Isolated damaging winds should
   be the main threat in the short term, with the marginal
   thermodynamic and kinematic environment probably acting to limit the
   overall severe threat for at least the next couple of hours.
   Therefore, watch issuance appears unlikely at this time.

   ..Gleason/Grams.. 06/27/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ILN...IND...

   LAT...LON   39788715 40068673 40188630 40288566 40268471 39958457
               39528462 39288490 39178544 39148593 39318665 39558713
               39788715