Mesoscale Discussion 1035
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1149 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2020

   Areas affected...far southern Kentucky into parts of Middle and
   eastern Tennessee and western North Carolina

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 281649Z - 281915Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...At least a few severe wind gusts are possible this
   afternoon from far southern Kentucky into parts of Middle/eastern
   Tennessee and western North Carolina.

   DISCUSSION...An MCS over southern KY and associated midlevel wave
   will continue into TN and western NC this afternoon, with possible
   rejuvenation along the existing outflow currently near the KY/TN
   border.

   Visible imagery shows heating south of this system, with an
   instability gradient extending east/southeast. Continued heating and
   moisture advection from the west/southwest will lead to moderate
   instability. New updrafts forming along the advancing outflow surge
   may eventually become severe at times, with large PWAT and
   steepening low-level lapse rates favoring locally damaging gusts.
   The stronger cores may produce marginal hail.

   If strengthening/organization occurs today, a watch could be needed
   mainly for a wind threat.

   ..Jewell/Thompson.. 06/28/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...

   LAT...LON   37088677 37128653 36868594 36708541 36648397 36398277
               35838240 35418245 35158287 35108351 35168428 35458498
               35718550 35898588 36348636 36868698 36938703 37058694
               37088677