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Mesoscale Discussion 1038
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1038
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0308 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2020

   Areas affected...Southern New England Vicinity

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 312...

   Valid 282008Z - 282215Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 312
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The threat for damaging wind gusts should continue in
   remaining portions of WW 312 through the afternoon. A semi-organized
   line in southeastern NY would pose the greatest threat, particularly
   where it interacts with remaining areas unaffected by convection.
   Isolated large hail remains possible in the more discrete storms.

   DISCUSSION...A semi-organized line of convection has developed in
   southeastern NY. While this line of storms will carry the greatest
   threat for damaging wind gusts through the remainder of the
   afternoon, the exact spatial extent of the threat will be
   conditional on where the downstream airmass has not been affected by
   convection. Across central an eastern MA, coastal southeastern NY,
   and southwestern CT, convection has been ongoing and cooled surface
   temperatures. Portions of northern/eastern CT into RI as well as
   northern NJ have temperatures remaining in the mid 80s to low 90s.
   The wind gust threat would be maximized in these locations so long
   as the airmass stays undisturbed by convection and/or stable marine
   air. The threat for large hail should remain more isolated and
   associated with more discrete activity.

   ..Wendt.. 06/28/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...

   LAT...LON   42337415 42597387 42637204 42577113 42147070 41707090
               41467211 41377315 41047395 40717431 40957487 41307531
               42337415 

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