Mesoscale Discussion 1070
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1217 PM CDT Wed Jul 01 2020

   Areas affected...Southeastern Alabama...Southern Georgia

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 011717Z - 011915Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A few damaging wind gusts are possible with storms
   associated with a southeastward moving MCV. The eastern flank of
   this activity will pose a greater wind damage risk as the downstream
   airmass continues to destabilize. With the threat likely to remain
   isolated, no WW is expected this afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...A line of storms in southern Alabama and western
   Georgia is expected to continue southeastward this afternoon. Storms
   along the western flank of this line have been the most intense thus
   far on account of greater buoyancy in southern Alabama. This portion
   of the line is roughly parallel to the low/mid-level flow and may
   eventually be impacted by outflow from storm in he Florida
   Panhandle. Farther east, the downstream airmass continues to
   destabilize, though some capping remains given the inability of
   storms to initiate/intensify along the leading outflow. However,
   temperatures are already near or just above 90 F. Continued heating
   should support MLCAPE on the order of 2000 J/kg. Given the line's
   orientation more normal to the enhanced low/mid-level winds, storms
   on this eastern flank would pose a greater threat for damaging wind
   gusts. The threat is still expected to remain isolated and no WW is
   expected this afternoon.

   ..Wendt/Hart.. 07/01/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...

   LAT...LON   32328523 32488449 32508398 32548348 31968223 30688204
               30438240 30388402 30798537 31398589 32008604 32328523