Mesoscale Discussion 1071
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1246 PM CDT Wed Jul 01 2020

   Areas affected...Portions of Mid-Atlantic

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 011746Z - 011945Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A few damaging wind gusts and some small hail are possible
   this afternoon. The threat is expected to remain isolated and
   marginal. No WW expected this afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...Cold temperatures aloft and strong surface heating have
   helped to initiate storms across the Delmarva vicinity. Enhanced
   mid-level flow along the southern fringe of the upper-level low has
   lead to around 30 kts of deep-layer shear per KAKQ VAD data.
   Isolated damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat with this
   activity. Temperatures aloft are cold enough, particularly from the
   Delmarva and north, that a few storms may produce small, sub-severe
   hail. Farther south, greater storm coverage will occur later in the
   afternoon as the surface continues to heat as well as a more robust
   sea breeze circulation develops in eastern NC. Activity should
   remain isolated and no WW is expected this afternoon.

   ..Wendt/Hart.. 07/01/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...MHX...LWX...RAH...RNK...

   LAT...LON   35207856 35657902 36117922 36777952 37657903 38327800
               38937624 39017515 38387496 36887575 35577533 34797643
               34647722 35207856