Mesoscale Discussion 1072
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0254 PM CDT Wed Jul 01 2020

   Areas affected...Western Tennessee...northern
   Mississippi...northeastern Arkansas...far western Kentucky

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 011954Z - 012100Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Line of strong convection has produced wind gusts that
   have been well below severe limits. A recent measured gust at
   Newport, AR, of 45 kts suggest that some increase in intensity has
   occurred. With the southeastward moving segment accelerating
   recently, a few stronger/damaging gusts are possible in the highly
   unstable environment. The isolated nature of the threat is expected
   to preclude WW issuance.

   DISCUSSION...Though observed wind gusts have generally remained in
   the 20-30 kt range over the last few hours, a recent 45 kt gust at
   Newport, AR, suggests that locally damaging wind gusts are still
   possible. A portion of the line has accelerated to around 35 kts and
   is moving into objectively analyzed 3500 J/kg MLCAPE. As this
   continues to move southeast, locally strong/damaging wind gusts will
   be possible. At its current speed, Memphis may be impacted around 4
   PM CDT. With a continued expectation that damaging gusts will remain
   spatially limited, a WW is not anticipated.

   ..Wendt/Hart.. 07/01/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LZK...

   LAT...LON   35489158 36269008 36498956 36698913 36818887 36718858
               36008835 34808888 34728891 34329000 34559098 35159163
               35489158