Mesoscale Discussion 1076
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1134 AM CDT Thu Jul 02 2020

   Areas affected...central through northeast Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 021634Z - 021830Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will pose a risk for isolated strong to
   damaging wind gusts and hail as they move southward through central
   and northeast Oklahoma. Though a WW is not expected at this time,
   trends will continue to be monitored.

   DISCUSSION...Late this morning thunderstorms continue developing
   across northern OK along and expansive convective outflow boundary.
   This boundary is moving south and southeast at 20-25 kt. Farther
   downstream, strong diabatic warming of the very moist boundary layer
   with low 70s F dewpoints is supporting up to 3500 J/kg MLCAPE,
   though mid-level lapse rates are somewhat modest (6.5-7 C/km).
   Vertical wind/shear profiles are also very weak along the northern
   extension of an upper ridge. However, the thermodynamic environment
   will promote a risk for strong to damaging wind gusts as storms
   continue to develop along the progressive outflow boundary next few
   hours.

   ..Dial/Hart.. 07/02/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

   LAT...LON   36309773 36229713 36259645 36579564 35949518 35299602
               35089737 35599763 36059788 36309773