|
| Mesoscale Discussion 1079 |
|
< Previous MD Next MD >
|
|
Mesoscale Discussion 1079
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0244 PM CDT Thu Jul 02 2020
Areas affected...northeast Colorado...southwest Nebraska and
northwest Kansas
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 021944Z - 022115Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will pose a risk for isolated damaging wind
and large hail as they develop eastward through the central High
Plains this afternoon and early evening. Trends are being monitored
for a possible severe thunderstorm watch.
DISCUSSION...As of mid afternoon, thunderstorms are in the process
of developing in vicinity of a dryline across northeast CO. East of
this boundary the atmosphere has become very unstable (3500-4000
J/kg MLCAPE) due to advection of mid to upper 60s F dewpoints
beneath eastern fringe of the elevated mixed layer. This region
resides within a belt of modest (15-25 kt) deep layer southwesterly
winds supportive of multicells. Also to the east, storms may
eventually interact with a modifying differential heating boundary
that currently resides from southwest NE into northwest KS. Mixed
storm modes are expected including some discrete cells, but some
upscale growth into clusters and line segments are likely with
damaging wind and large hail possible through early evening.
..Dial/Hart.. 07/02/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...
LAT...LON 39510265 40660319 41370243 41110157 40550083 39450020
38650168 39510265
|
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
|
|