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Mesoscale Discussion 1079
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1079
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0244 PM CDT Thu Jul 02 2020

   Areas affected...northeast Colorado...southwest Nebraska and
   northwest Kansas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 021944Z - 022115Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will pose a risk for isolated damaging wind
   and large hail as they develop eastward through the central High
   Plains this afternoon and early evening. Trends are being monitored
   for a possible severe thunderstorm watch.

   DISCUSSION...As of mid afternoon, thunderstorms are in the process
   of developing in vicinity of a dryline across northeast CO. East of
   this boundary the atmosphere has become very unstable (3500-4000
   J/kg MLCAPE) due to advection of mid to upper 60s F dewpoints
   beneath eastern fringe of the elevated mixed layer. This region
   resides within a belt of modest (15-25 kt) deep layer southwesterly
   winds supportive of multicells. Also to the east, storms may
   eventually interact with a modifying differential heating boundary
   that currently resides from southwest NE into northwest KS. Mixed
   storm modes are expected including some discrete cells, but some
   upscale growth into clusters and line segments are likely with
   damaging wind and large hail possible through early evening.

   ..Dial/Hart.. 07/02/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...

   LAT...LON   39510265 40660319 41370243 41110157 40550083 39450020
               38650168 39510265 

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