Mesoscale Discussion 1084
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0553 PM CDT Thu Jul 02 2020

   Areas affected...Northeast Kansas and into north-central Nebraska

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 323...

   Valid 022253Z - 030100Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 323
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The threat for severe wind and hail continues across WW
   323, and a new watch may be needed for portions of north-central
   Nebraska.

   DISCUSSION...Recent radar trends from across northwest KS and
   southwest NE show a gradual transition from discrete/semi-discrete
   storm modes into linear segments. This is likely due continued
   ascent along an eastward moving outflow boundary and continued
   cold-pool amalgamation. Discrete convection has also recently been
   noted across the southwestern NE Panhandle along the northern
   periphery of an outflow boundary. In the near term, the risk for
   severe hail and wind will continue given sufficient deep layer shear
   (30-40 knots) and 3000-4000 J/kg MLCAPE. However, wind may become
   the primary threat as upscale growth continues and storms move
   eastward into a weaker shear environment. Additionally, the continue
   east/northeast propagation of the outflow boundary into
   north-central NE may initiate additional thunderstorms. Agitated
   cumulus across this region suggests limited inhibition remains in
   place, and despite relatively weaker shear, severe winds, and
   perhaps severe hail, will be possible. As such, a new watch may be
   needed later this evening for this area.

   ..Moore/Thompson.. 07/02/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...

   LAT...LON   38640276 39610281 40660279 41070343 42060369 42690344
               42950277 42940132 42509988 41219958 40199988 39320031
               38730088 38600181 38640276