Mesoscale Discussion 1086
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0704 PM CDT Thu Jul 02 2020

   Areas affected...South-central Nebraska and north-central Kansas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 030004Z - 030200Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...An eastward propagating MCS should continue into portions
   of south-central Nebraska and north-central Kansas over the next 1-3
   hours and will pose a risk for severe wind.

   DISCUSSION...Recent radar trends from northwest KS and southwest NE
   continue to show upscale growth as cold pool amalgamation and cell
   mergers from the south continue to organize into an eastward moving
   MCS. This line of storms is expected to continue to propagate into
   south-central NE and north-central KS over the next 1-3 hours.
   Although it will become increasingly displaced from the more
   favorable deep layer shear to the west, steep 7.5-8 C/km low-level
   lapse rates ahead of the line, coupled with upwards of 4000 J/kg
   MLCAPE, will continue to favor strong outflow winds and the
   potential for severe wind gusts. A watch is likely to cover this
   threat prior to a gradual decay later this evening.

   ..Moore/Thompson.. 07/03/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   39139951 40150028 41340034 41489988 41499876 41219809
               40749771 40049771 39249812 39129882 39139951