Mesoscale Discussion 1092
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0226 PM CDT Fri Jul 03 2020

   Areas affected...central parts of Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 031926Z - 032200Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Scattered storms are possible along an outflow boundary,
   with isolated marginally severe wind or hail possible.

   DISCUSSION...Moderate to strong instability is developing ahead of
   an outflow boundary moving south into central parts of OK. Storms
   have formed east of OKC, where MUCAPE is around 4000 J/kg. Visible
   satellite also shows other towers forming along the length of the
   boundary, as far west as Dewey County.

   While shear is weak, there appears to be some influence from the MCV
   over KS, and models indicate 500 mb winds veering to northwesterly
   and increasing to near 20 kt during the late afternoon. This may
   create enough deep-shear to sustain a few storm cores as they move
   south or even south/southwest, with marginal hail and perhaps
   isolated damaging downbursts.

   ..Jewell/Guyer.. 07/03/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

   LAT...LON   34789843 35059897 35349924 35679924 35889903 35759864
               35659813 35529765 35439715 35539669 35659617 35889579
               35819559 35579544 35089557 34839598 34579696 34789843