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Mesoscale Discussion 1094
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 PM CDT Fri Jul 03 2020
Areas affected...central High Plains
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 032055Z - 032300Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Storms should continue to increase in coverage this
afternoon, with a few producing marginally severe hail and strong
wind gusts.
DISCUSSION...Southeast surface winds have maintained low-level
moisture into the High Plains with MLCAPE increasing to 1500-2000
J/kg over southeast CO and southwest KS. Several strong storms have
already formed along Front Range with hail indicated with 1 or 2
storms. Weak northwest winds aloft atop the low-level
southeasterlies is resulting in marginal shear for any longer-lived
cells, but continued destabilization and eventual outflows should
result in increasing storm coverage over the next several hours.
Locally damaging wind gusts or marginally severe hail will be
possible with these rather disorganized storms.
..Jewell/Guyer.. 07/03/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...
LAT...LON 38930492 39420529 39910493 39860389 39390294 38670232
38020182 37340177 36750216 36480276 36490324 37610410
38930492
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