Mesoscale Discussion 1096
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1246 AM CDT Sat Jul 04 2020

   Areas affected...Southwest and Southcentral North Dakota

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 327...

   Valid 040546Z - 040715Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 327
   continues.

   SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat will continue, mainly across far
   southern North Dakota over the next couple of hours. The severe
   threat is expected to become marginal and WW 327 will be allowed to
   expire at 0700Z.

   DISCUSSION...The latest radar imagery shows a small cluster of
   thunderstorms in southwestern North Dakota. These storms are located
   along the northwestern edge of moderate instability with the RAP
   showing MLCAPE near 1500 J/kg. The short line segment is also
   located behind an outflow boundary which is hampering instability.
   However, instability appears strong enough, combined with 0-6 km
   shear near 30 kt on the Bismarck WSR-88D VWP, to support a threat
   for damaging wind gusts and hail. The threat may continue past the
   0700Z watch expiration time but should become increasingly marginal
   with time. For this reason, the watch will be allowed to expire.

   ..Broyles.. 07/04/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ABR...BIS...UNR...

   LAT...LON   47090020 47030188 46890261 46610278 46100282 45500272
               45470190 45560106 45710050 45970003 47090020