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| Mesoscale Discussion 1099 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1099
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0354 PM CDT Sat Jul 04 2020
Areas affected...parts of central Montana
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 042054Z - 042300Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent
SUMMARY...Storms will continue to increase in intensity through
evening, with damaging wind gusts and marginally severe hail.
DISCUSSION...Storms are currently increasing across southwest MT
near the nose of the high-level speed max. Meanwhile, heating
persists downstream, where low 50s F dewpoints are yielding around
1000 J/kg MLCAPE over central MT. Moderate winds aloft atop weak
surface winds are resulting in long, straight hodographs favoring
splitting cells and small bowing structures. Coverage of severe wind
gusts or hail may warrant a watch later today.
..Jewell.. 07/04/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...MSO...
LAT...LON 46410892 45580975 45311180 45811300 46381326 47181300
48211236 49001114 48970952 48130879 47410878 46410892
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