Mesoscale Discussion 1134
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0735 PM CDT Tue Jul 07 2020

   Areas affected...western through central North Dakota

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 080035Z - 080130Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

   SUMMARY...Severe storms with damaging wind the primary threat will
   move into western North Dakota between 01-02Z. A severe thunderstorm
   watch will likely be needed soon.

   DISCUSSION...A couple of lines of severe storms capable of producing
   widespread damaging wind continue through eastern Montana at 45 to
   50 kt and should approach the ND border by 0130Z. Downstream of the
   line the atmosphere is moderately unstable with 2000-2500 J/kg
   MLCAPE along with steep low to mid-level lapse rates. Convective
   inhibition will increase with onset of nocturnal cooling. However,
   strong convergence along the gust front supported by a 65 kt rear
   inflow jet, a strengthening low-level jet as well as deeper forcing
   accompanying a progressive shortwave trough should maintain the MCS
   into western and central ND next several hours.

   ..Dial/Thompson.. 07/08/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BIS...

   LAT...LON   46120367 47880401 48720383 48980240 48650067 46240067
               46120367