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Mesoscale Discussion 1136
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1136
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1109 PM CDT Tue Jul 07 2020

   Areas affected...central through eastern North Dakota

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 340...

   Valid 080409Z - 080515Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 340
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Damaging wind remains likely with squall line moving
   through central North Dakota. A new severe thunderstorm watch will
   likely be needed prior to 06Z for eastern North Dakota.

   DISCUSSION...Squall line continues moving east through central ND at
   40-45 kt. The line should approach the eastern bound of the WW by
   06Z. The strongest and most organized portion of the line is just
   west of Bismark where latest Radar data indicate presence of a 65 kt
   rear inflow jet. Moreover the latest Bismark VWP show the low-level
   jet has strengthened to near 45 kt southeasterly. Strong forcing
   along the leading gust front will sustain a forward propagating MCS
   next few hours through the remainder of ND where MLCAPE is on the
   order of 1500-2000 J/kg. Warm advection storms are also developing
   east of the line, and these could pose a risk for isolated large
   hail.

   ..Dial.. 07/08/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

   LAT...LON   46050141 46830157 47680215 48690120 48699948 47349702
               46049727 46050141 

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